Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029855 0.032169 0.034589 0.037313 0.040296 0.043470 0.047106
2025-02-16 0.025978 0.029245 0.032846 0.037122 0.042080 0.047668 0.054473
2025-02-23 0.023290 0.027084 0.031431 0.036809 0.043323 0.051007 0.060830
2025-03-02 0.021435 0.025587 0.030497 0.036778 0.044666 0.054335 0.067218
2025-03-09 0.019728 0.024063 0.029325 0.036248 0.045214 0.056568 0.072252
2025-03-16 0.018228 0.022649 0.028136 0.035534 0.045376 0.058206 0.076507
2025-03-23 0.017104 0.021610 0.027320 0.035192 0.045928 0.060306 0.081445
2025-03-30 0.016129 0.020689 0.026576 0.034859 0.046417 0.062287 0.086292
2025-04-06 0.015135 0.019676 0.025635 0.034173 0.046335 0.063417 0.089930
2025-04-13 0.014623 0.019274 0.025480 0.034541 0.047726 0.066690 0.096939
2025-04-20 0.014032 0.018724 0.025082 0.034525 0.048536 0.069133 0.102831
2025-04-27 0.013634 0.018417 0.024998 0.034939 0.049982 0.072590 0.110547
2025-05-04 0.013017 0.017776 0.024413 0.034594 0.050274 0.074316 0.115648
2025-05-11 0.012502 0.017256 0.023973 0.034434 0.050830 0.076476 0.121625
2025-05-18 0.011992 0.016716 0.023475 0.034151 0.051163 0.078282 0.127119
2025-05-25 0.011589 0.016314 0.023159 0.034123 0.051886 0.080750 0.133942
2025-06-01 0.011094 0.015752 0.022574 0.033639 0.051831 0.081899 0.138475
2025-06-08 0.010589 0.015154 0.021907 0.032986 0.051451 0.082460 0.141949
2025-06-15 0.010201 0.014718 0.021467 0.032673 0.051615 0.083953 0.147266
2025-06-22 0.009839 0.014306 0.021047 0.032368 0.051767 0.085423 0.152640
2025-06-29 0.009423 0.013795 0.020451 0.031740 0.051322 0.085784 0.155851
2025-07-06 0.009250 0.013656 0.020435 0.032077 0.052576 0.089301 0.165657
2025-07-13 0.009009 0.013399 0.020218 0.032062 0.053198 0.091680 0.173331